How California’s Gas-Powered Vehicle Ban May Impact Your Future Car Purchases

Introduction

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California’s decision to ban the sale of new gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035 marks a pivotal moment in the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) in the United States. This landmark policy aims to reduce emissions and combat climate change, but it also raises questions about its impact on consumers and the automotive market. In this article, we’ll explore how the ban might influence your future car purchases, the automakers' response, and your options as a buyer.

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Will the Ban Make the Price of Gas Cars Go Up?

The principle of supply and demand suggests that scarcity affects price. As new gas-powered models become less available in states adhering to the ban, prices for these vehicles—both new and used—are expected to rise. By 2030, 70% of new light vehicles sold in California must be electrified, further limiting gas-only options.

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Some analysts predict that as early as 2026, concerns about limited availability could drive up the prices of both new and used gas-powered vehicles. Enthusiasts and consumers who prefer traditional engines might start securing their desired models well in advance of the ban’s full implementation.

Can I Be Required to Buy an EV?

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California’s policy does not mandate individuals to purchase electric vehicles. Instead, it requires manufacturers to meet specific targets for producing zero-emission vehicles (ZEVs), which include EVs and plug-in hybrids. The goal is to encourage adoption by making ZEVs more accessible and affordable.

Improvements in EV technology, such as extended ranges and faster charging times, coupled with increased production, are expected to make EVs a more attractive option for many consumers. By 2035, a competitive market for EVs should emerge, offering a variety of price points and features to suit diverse needs.

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Which Automakers Are Planning to Go All-Electric?

Several major automakers have already committed to a future dominated by electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles:

• General Motors: Aims for 100% ZEV production by 2035.
• Mercedes-Benz: Plans to transition to all-electric by 2030 where market conditions allow.
• Volvo: Intends to sell only electric vehicles by 2030.
• Honda: Targets 100% EV and fuel-cell vehicle sales by 2040.
• Bentley: Committed to becoming fully electric by 2030.

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Additional companies, such as BMW, Stellantis, and Ford, have set ambitious electrification goals, ranging from 40% to 50% EV sales by 2030, further underscoring the industry’s shift toward sustainability.

What If I Don’t Want to Buy an Electric Vehicle?

If you’re reluctant to embrace EVs and reside in a state implementing similar bans, there’s no immediate cause for concern. Gas-powered vehicles will remain available in the used car market for decades, thanks to the long lifespan of modern cars.

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On average, it takes about 14 years to transition the majority of a state’s vehicle fleet, meaning gas-powered cars will still be on the road well into the 2040s.

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Additionally, private sales and dealerships will continue offering used gas vehicles even after 2035. If you prefer traditional combustion engines, now might be the time to consider purchasing a new or lightly used gas-powered car to ensure availability.